The projection industry is facing the "Moore's Law" of LED light sources

"Moore's Law" is a very important statistical law in the semiconductor industry. Although many people are skeptical that this law is about to fail, there are still many industries similar to the traditional semiconductor industry that will apply to this law in the early stages of development.

Moore's Law was proposed by Gordon Moore, one of the founders of Intel (IntEL). The content is: the number of transistors that can be accommodated on an integrated circuit, doubled every 18 months, and the performance will double, or consumers can double the performance at the same price after 18 months. The product. At present, this law has once again become a reality in the semiconductor LED light source technology for projectors.

In the past three years, the projector has been continuously improving with the led light source technology, and almost doubled the incredible development speed of doubling the brightness, reducing the volume by half, and reducing the price by half every 18 months. In 2007, the price of 50 lumens LED light source projectors exceeded 13,000. At present, the volume of this level of products is not only one-fifth of the original, but even smaller, and the price has dropped to less than 3,000 yuan.

In the future, industry insiders believe that the Moore's Law of LED light source projectors will still become the key to the development of this new technology. At present, the highest brightness of the products in the laboratory stage can reach 2000-3000 lumens, and many companies such as Samsung also expressed their desire to launch 500 lumens economical LED light source projector products in 2011.

Another study shows that the brightness of the LED light source miniature handheld projector in 2011 is also eager to increase from the current 15 lumens to more than 30 lumens, and the brightness of mainstream new products will reach 70-80 lumens. At the same time, the LED light source of the larger handheld projector product will be able to support the 100-300 lumens of the whole product "cheap", and enter the popular market of 3,000 yuan. Along with the advancement of technology, the sales of LED light source projectors will increase by more than double every year.

According to this development speed, it is expected that by 2013 to 2014, LED light source projections can enter the mainstream market of commercial and education in batches. At that time, combined with micro-projection, handheld projection, other handheld devices, LED light source projection unit and other three emerging products, LED light source projector sales are eager to increase to nearly 10 million each year.

The rapid rise of LED light source projectors has become the consensus of the industry, and has become one of the important forces to change the projector industry landscape. At present, the main LED light source projector suppliers basically adopt DLP projection technology, and mainly Korean and Taiwanese brands. Among the Japanese brands, Casio and NEC also pay more attention to this technology. However, the Epson-based LCD projector camp is currently not enthusiastic about the technology. However, industry insiders believe that as the leader of the global projection market, Epson is more likely to apply the "post-production" strategy.

However, in the emerging market of handheld projectors such as handheld and handheld, the industry believes that this product is closer to consumer electronics: the earlier the layout, the more powerful the brand reputation and market awareness. This is one of the reasons why Samsung, Acer, BenQ, LG, Dell and other brand companies have vigorously launched LED light source projector products. For these brands, LED light source is responsible for breaking the monopoly position of Japanese giants such as Epson.